Predicting cross-border migration patterns


Silhouettes of people, with backpacks, walking in a line to the right, led by children

Predicting cross-border migration patterns

The challenge of securing the safe, orderly, and humane processing of migrants who arrive at our Southwest border is renderedincreasingly complicated due to the growing volume and substantial variations of this influx of migrants.

Hand of a person holding a carry-on bag in an terminal.

Validating risk models

Efforts for homeland security face constantly evolving adversary tactics, rapid technological advances and changes in the overall environment. The challenge of preparing for new tactics is a very real risk for homeland security. 

View of pickup truck driving toward viewer on a gravel road in the Sonoran Desert with saguaros and creosote bush.

Improving detection of threats at border operations

Securing the border between Ports-of-Entry (POEs) uses a variety of both physical and virtual infrastructure to detect, deter and disrupt pathways. The U.S. government is making substantial investments in both types of infrastructure to improve their capacity to prevent illegal smuggling and trafficking.


Identifying biological weapons threats post COVID-19

The COVID-19 pandemic has raised concerns on the state of biological warfare (BW) defense strategies. This includes identifying countries most likely to pursue the development of these BW capabilities, including the development of viable BW programs.